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【第100期】王法:High Dimensional Mixed Frequency Factor Models with Temporal Aggregation

2026-05-26

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讲座题目High Dimensional Mixed Frequency Factor Models with Temporal Aggregation

内容摘要In mixed-frequency data sets, observed low-frequency series are generated from latent high-frequency processes through temporal aggregation that depend on whether the underlying variables are stocks or flows. This paper develops a high-dimensional mixed-frequency factor model that explicitly incorporates the temporal aggregation relationship within a unified factor structure. We propose a mixed-frequency EM estimator and establish the consistency, convergence rates, and limiting distributions for the estimated factors and loadings. Monte Carlo simulations show that the proposed estimator accurately recovers latent high-frequency factors and common components, and substantially outperforms methods that treat mixed-frequency observations merely as missing data across different error structures and aggregation schemes. An application to U.S. macroeconomic data constructs a monthly measure of U.S. GDP growth and demonstrates the usefulness of the proposed procedure for nowcasting quarterly U.S. GDP growth.

主讲人简介:王法,北京大学经济学院金融系副教授,博士生导师,美国雪城大学经济学博士。加入北京大学前,曾在伦敦大学卡斯商学院和上海财经大学担任助理教授。研究领域为金融计量,因子模型,因果推断和高维计量经济学,主讲时间序列、固定收益证券等课程。研究成果多次发表于Journal of EconometricsEconometric Reviews等期刊,并多次担任经济学国际一流期刊的审稿人。

报告时间2026年6月2(周二)16:30-18:00

线下地点:厦门大学经济楼C108(分会场)

线上地点:腾讯会议 ID:591 486 142